Dota 2 fans rejoice! After a relative lull period with very little action between the top Dota 2 teams, we’re now finally going to see the best going at it, and where better to see the best of the best duke it out than at the happiest place on earth?
Kicking off this coming May 4 and running through May 12, the MDL Disneyland Paris Major will bring together title contenders and up-and-coming teams alike for the fourth Dota 2 Major of the 2018-19 Dota Pro Circuit. As with the previous Dota 2 Majors this season, $1 million USD and 15,000 Pro Circuit Points will be up for grabs.
With that said, join us as we break down which teams are competing, and which ones you should keep an eye out on.
Betting Picks and Predictions – MDL Disneyland Paris Major
During the final four days of the event, we’re going to be posting our individual match analysis and betting predictions for the tournament’s most hyped games.
- May 12: Evil Geniuses vs Team Liquid
- May 11: Team Secret vs Evil Geniuses
- May 10: Evil Geniuses vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
- May 10: Team Secret vs OG
- May 10: PSG.LGD vs Virtus.Pro
Make sure that you come back and check with us periodically to find out our picks for a particular day.
Betting Odds – The Favorites to win the the Major
Odds as of May 8, 2019:
Betting Preview & Analysis
When we say that the MDL Disneyland Paris Major has got to be the most stacked Dota 2 Major to date, we’re not kidding.
All three of the previous Dota 2 Major winners are playing at the tournament. There’s Virtus.Pro, who won the Kuala Lumpur Major earlier last year. There’s also Team Secret, who won the Chongqing Major earlier this year. Then, there’s Vici Gaming, who also won a Major (as well as a Minor) at the CORSAIR DreamLeague Season 11.
To no one’s surprise, oddsmakers have these three Dota 2 teams on top of their outright odds.
But, they won’t be uncontested. TI8 runner-ups, PSG.LGD, are also one of the heavy favourites to win the MDL Disneyland Paris Major. Refreshed and rejuvenated, especially with Lu “Maybe” Yao fresh off of a lengthy vacation, PSG.LGD are primed to make a deep run at the tournament.
There’s also Team Liquid to worry about as well.
Yes, the former TI7 champions have not had a good season to date. In fact, one could argue that Kuro “KuroKy” Salehi Takhasomi is having one of the worst years of his professional Dota 2 career so far. But, we really shouldn’t be too quick to dismiss them. After all, they’re still former TI champions. Also, despite their “bad” season, the current Team Liquid lineup still owns the second-highest win rate in Dota 2 history (minimum 100 LAN games played) at 68.87% (219 wins and 99 losses).
While most bookmakers have these five Dota 2 teams as the heavy favourites to win the MDL Disneyland Paris Major, there are a number of Dota 2 teams playing in the tournament that have a legitimate shot at taking home the trophy.
Memes about placing third all of the time aside, Evil Geniuses will always be a threat unless otherwise proven. There’s also Fnatic as well, who have have been one of the more consistent teams this season. The reigning TI8 champions, OG, will also be making their Major debut this season with Anathan “ana” Pham back in their lineup, and it’ll be interesting to see just how much better they’ll play now that their TI-winning roster is finally complete.
Finally, Ninjas in Pyjamas and Keen Gaming are not to be underestimated either. Both are fresh off of tournament wins, with the former earning their spot by winning the OGA Dota Pit Minor at the end of April.
With so many Dota 2 teams that could win the tournament, choosing just one could prove to be a difficult endeavor, and you’d be forgiven for getting it wrong. But, as far as who we think is going to win the tournament, we’re going to go with something more risky.
Based on their recent performance and how well they’ve been playing so far. Not to mention, how they seem to improve from game to game, Keen Gaming are coming into the MDL Disneyland Paris Major as arguably the team with the hottest hand.
With that said, Keen Gaming are our controversial pick to win the MDL Disneyland Paris Major.
Outright betting prediction: Keen Gaming to win the MDL Disneyland Paris Major
See more odds @ Arcanebet
Is It Worth Betting on the Underdogs?
Betting on the underdogs depend on what your definition of an underdog team is.
If, by underdog, you mean a team that oddsmakers have in double digits to win the MDL Disneyland Paris Major, then yes. It is worth it betting on the underdogs. We’re doing the same thing ourselves, and for good reason – the MDL Disneyland Paris Major is so stacked and competitive that nearly every Dota 2 team playing in the tournament could win it.
This is the result of the 2018-19 Dota Pro Circuit.
The constant battles between teams from all over the world, in addition to other non-DPC tournaments, have forced teams to elevate themselves to try and keep up with the rest of the field.
As a result, there’s not a single Dota 2 team that’s dominating the entire scene. There are multiple title contenders, with even more teams just a tier below them that are just a good day or two away from winning a tournament.
With that said, the MDL Disneyland Paris Major is one of the rare cases where it’s arguably worth it to try and risk your money on the underdogs.
Schedule and Format
The MDL Disneyland Paris Major will be split into two stages – a double-elimination GSL-style group stage followed by a double-elimination playoffs.
The Group Stage (May 4 – May 5)
In the group stage, the sixteen participating teams will be divided into four groups composed of four teams each. They will play each other in a GSL-style double-elimination format in best-of-three matches, where the top two seeds will secure a bit of a cushion with an upper bracket playoffs spot. Meanwhile, the bottom seeds will be playing with their backs against the wall in the lower brackets.
No team will be eliminated during the group stage.
The Playoffs (May 6 – May 12)
Following the end of the group stage, the sixteen Dota 2 teams will be playing each other in a double-elimination playoff. All matches, except for the first round of the lower brackets (best-of-three) and the grand finals (best-of-five) will be a best-of-three.
In a double-elimination bracket, those in the upper brackets will essentially have two lives. If they lose, they will drop down to the lower brackets, where they will have another chance at continuing their run. Those in the lower brackets, however, will be playing with everything to lose as each matchup presents a chance for them to go home much earlier than they would like.
Only the final four days of the MDL Disneyland Paris Major will be played in front of the live audience at the Disney® Events Arena in Disneyland Paris.
A total of $1 million in prize pool will be up for grabs at the MDL Disneyland Paris Major, as well as 15,000 DPC points.
Here is the current breakdown:
- 1st – $350,000 + 4,950 DPC Points
- 2nd – $170,000 + 3,000 DPC Points
- 3rd – $100,000 + 2,100 DPC Points
- 4th – $80,000 + 1,350 DPC Points
- 5th-6th – $60,000 + 900 DPC Points
- 7th-8th – $40,000 + 450 DPC Points
- 9th-12th – $15,000 + 150 DPC Points
- 13th-16th – $10,000 + 75 DPC Points
Twitch Streaming – Where to Find Games Live
For those interested in watching the tournament from home, you can watch MDL Disneyland Paris Major online, for free, on Twitch at twitch.tv/beyondthesummit, as well as in the Dota 2 client.
For more information about future Dota 2 tournaments, check our esports calendar.